Thursday, February 07, 2019 10:22:17 AM
If they are going to measure over all survival at 3 years
Then
The standard of care group, if everybody falls in to that, no effectiveness, will be one date.
If there is 10% improvement, that will be farther in the future.
Fosco dropped on bomb on me, if the # of people don't count, and the statistical averages do... then that is a big trick to know in advance.
Evidently we got a number in 2017, Feb, 133 events so far. Evidently we got another number in feb 2018, 208 events so far.
If we are lucky we will get the next number if it isn't done yet.
I don't know how it can be though completely irrelevant, total number of people living longer... that must matter to the time, and this is kinda binary, alive or not, and thus "integer" or "discrete" corresponding to the idea of "events".
The bottom line of how I used to do it still goes across... so...
As of this morning I am not sure anymore, but since the old bottom line still holds, then I think the months matter.
I need a break and come back and look at this again later and fiddle with the log settings, and reboot and see if it hits those 133 and 208 numbers when it is supposed to.
When I tried to roll this one forward it did not make sense like the old one used to... and I need to ponder wtf happened to that capability.
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