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Re: Ole Broke Azz post# 6356

Thursday, 12/13/2018 2:56:55 PM

Thursday, December 13, 2018 2:56:55 PM

Post# of 16650
I was watching your trade develop. When I saw you had averaged down I was thinking "hooboy, this might not go all that well for OBA". I did some research and found out that down gaps don't fill nearly as often as many people think...I believe it was only around 20% of the time or maybe even only 10% of the time, I forgot exactly. And the bigger the gap and the longer it takes to fill the more those odds go down. This was for a standard deviation move of 1 which is about what Aphria's first down gap was...the second one a day later was a little smaller.

And those were gaps caused by normal chit like earnings misses and regular stuff...not potential corruption and fraud. I almost posted a couple links to you with the statistical research and then I figured "hell, this guy knows 10 times more than you do and knows what he's doing". Glad it worked out for you.

Anyway, start making some room on that mantle for the December award that's headed your way. You deserve it IMO.

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