the short term fate of 4Qs is intriguing. I checked the 5/13 MA of QLD and you are right. Do you use these as F numbers "derivatives"? in which context? i do not know what to do with this crossover. Do you predict a fall through 41.5 for the 4Qs? If yes , IMO this might be a drastic change and one should not micro-manage before it happens but keep the shorts.
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