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Re: RealDutch post# 150474

Monday, 11/26/2018 2:10:59 AM

Monday, November 26, 2018 2:10:59 AM

Post# of 163718


Let's see what my valuation model says. Which is merely an indication of how much value there is relative to other stocks.

Valuation : 11.9
Growth : 9.5
Risk : 7.75
Adaptability : 8.5
Priority : 9.5
Reliability : 8.5

Overall score 9.34



I am not here to argue with you again. But most of these numbers are just plain imaginary. There is no way to quantify risk with some kind of formula and come up with results like that. The only 2 major risk there are: the risk of losing money and the risk of missing opportunities, and you can't quantify that. I don't believe in Beta as risk, a Beta is a measure of the volatility, and volatility is a volatility, it doesn't tell you much how risky the investments are.

Can you quantify if they are actually going to pay dividend on time or if they ever will? Can you quantify if Garrett would convert its toxic note? Can you quantify the future of this company? This are the real risks, and you can't quantify it!

I am not even going to ask you how you came up with those numbers for "Adaptability", "Priority", "Reliability". You have to be realistic here.

The only 2 things that you might be able to quantify are the value of the company and its growth.

Sometimes you keep surprising me that even if you know everything about this company, you often find yourself stooping so low and trying to make up your own numbers. You keep ignoring the basic principles of intelligent investing which is to be realistic.

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