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Sunday, November 25, 2018 12:51:26 AM
This is a neutral strategy where I have low risk and infinite reward, regardless of Microsoft's resultant success or failure during this option strangle. Admittedly I've worked on why I chose this option trade using original undisclosed methods, and I am not going to get into that here. But it is totally provable and has nothing to do with me or my thoughts personally. It is the market and collective knowledge that many have tried and failed to quantify, to use as a readily available and reliable tool.
Likewise, technology is a high risk, high reward effort with active participants looking to monetize their accomplishments. However in this case I am rewarded for participating regardless of their success or failure. They just have to make decisions good or bad, which they will do anyhow, because their whole function depends upon that sort of activity. Also, with their market capitalization and people interested in them, they can't really wait me out to make the trade fail if such an awareness response was chosen supposedly. I'm sure there are many others that buy strangles on the stock and nothing of note has been noticed in a causal fashion.
They would not be able to pause their business with months of inactivity. If they did they would not be able to keep people from reacting from a marked change of behavior. So I profit whatever happens...
price chart with option levels mapped out
option strangle purchase risk graph
MSFT buy
normal chart
log chart
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