Followers | 376 |
Posts | 17211 |
Boards Moderated | 3 |
Alias Born | 03/07/2014 |
Friday, October 12, 2018 3:17:16 PM
We (I and others) did this a little while back....wanted to revisit it again.....
WHAT are some "possible" TOP-LINE REVENUE PROJECTIONS (REALISTIC) based on GIFA Inc stating they have completed "$18 BILLION" in brokered loans (yes, with a "B" as in 9 zeros after the decimal point) - and are increasing that amount ?
And based on TOP-LINE REVENUES then what "might" be some initial REALISTIC SHARE PRICE "projections" IF...IF...IF this REVERSE MERGER IS COMPLETED AS IS LOOKING NEAR A CERTAINTY NOW ?
Well, I did some more reading on "commercial lending" (investment bank type lending, large, VERY LARGE commercial loans, loans to govt for infrastructure, etc) and came up with the following info:
1) Most of us are familiar with a "home loan" as a large loan we may have experience with. It's common for a "home loan" to carry a "LOAN BROKER" fee (remember, GIFA BROKERS LOANS AS CONSULTANTS- they connect the borrower with large commercial banks and potentially even monetary funds such as international funds for developing countries, etc) - so as a LOAN BROKER in "home loans" we know that a "point to 1.5 points" is VERY COMMON. A "point" = 1% of the total loan amount (thus 1% to 1.5% of the total loan is common).
2) When I researched "LARGE COMMERCIAL BUSINESS LOANS or country infrastructure loans" it's harder to pin-down what a CONSULTING FIRM or LOAN BROKER might make. It could be a fixed fee based on loan size or still a "commission" as a percent of the loan total. The LARGER THE LOAN the lower the percentage "BROKER FEE" is what I found.
3) Based on that- I found it "seems" to be "common" on large commercial business and infrastructure and "building" loans and similar for a broker to receive approx 1/2 a point to as low as 1/10th of a point on a $BILLION plus type loan.
4) SO, I WANT TO USE A VERY...VERY...VERY..SUPER CONSERVATIVE "GUESSTIMATE" as to what kind of revenues GIFA might be pulling down via brokering $18 BILLION in loans to large entities like country infrastructure projects all the way down to small to mid sized general "business" loans-[/color]
SO, I decided if it's between 1/10th of a percent and possibly as high as 1/2 a percent (.001 to .005) then I'll choose .003 (3/10ths of ONE PERCENT) as a LOAN FEE/BROKER FEE and see what happens to GIFA Inc TOP-LINE REVENUES (excluding ANY OTHER BUSINESS THEY OPERATE- only focusing on their LOAN BROKERAGE/FINANCIAL CONSULTING ARM) - and see what kind of numbers I get:
TOP-LINE GROSS REVENUE MODELS:
Assumption is .003 or 3/10ths of a percent to GIFA as their LOAN BROKER FEE
Here's what I get for TOP-LINE "GROSS" incoming REVENUES TO GIFA:
(Remember, Kisa has already stated they are SURPASSING ALL TARGETS OF THEIR PAST $18 BILLION NUMBER and "MAY DOUBLE THAT AMOUNT THIS YEAR" which is 2018) - so lets see what it looks like:
1)
$15 billion (lets say they did lower than stated) in loans
$15 billion X .003 = $45,000,000 or $45 MILLION top line revenues..WOW..
2)
$18 billion in brokered loans X .003 = $54,000,000 or $54 MILLION in top-line revenues...bigger wow...
As share price is going to be a decent sized multiple of that number...5X or 6X that number would not be unusual for the market cap...which would put this EASILY at a $BUCK A SHARE and more like $2 to $3 bucks w/o even trying hard. NO OTHER GIFA businesses even considered yet.
WHAT IF KISA's statement they are hitting BIGGER LOAN TARGETS PANS OUT?
Say they did the following:
3)
$25 BILLION in brokered loans X .003 = $75,000,000 or $75 MILLION in top-line gross revenues...WOW again....
We'd be looking at $5 BUCKS A SHARE IMO....and the "NASDAQ UP-LIST" talk would not be far fetched in the slightest...nope....
4)
$30 BILLION in brokered loans (which is a number Kisa has actually stated) X .003 = $90,000,000 or $90 MILLION in gross top-line revenues...WOW...WOW....again...
I think it's a $5 BUCK A SHARE STOCK AT THAT POINT...
THOSE ARE MY "HYPOTHETICAL PROJECTIONS" I get using what I "think" are very conservative numbers of a .003 or 3/10ths of a "point" BROKER FEE for large, VERY LARGE commercial loans....it could be more of course...
Either way...IF ANY OF IT IS REMOTELY CLOSE...THIS WILL BE EXPLOSIVE TO THE UP-SIDE GIVEN THE MICRO-FLOAT AND FACT IT TRADES ON THIN AIR DUE TO SAME......SEC FILINGS ARE GOING TO REVEAL A LOT....but it "might" be BEYOND HUGE just based on that loan brokerage "consultancy" biz they are running-
AND is IMO, 100% consistent with a company that BOUGHT A $2.9 MILLION euro piece of land and then BUILT A $12 MILLION euro WORLD CLASS STANDARDS BUILDING ON IT in short order... as in a few months time...
Posts are only my amateur opinions, personal views and thoughts. They are not any type of investment advice. Do one's own due diligence.
VHAI - Vocodia Partners with Leading Political Super PACs to Revolutionize Fundraising Efforts • VHAI • Sep 19, 2024 11:48 AM
Dear Cashmere Group Holding Co. AKA Swifty Global Signs Binding Letter of Intent to be Acquired by Signing Day Sports • DRCR • Sep 19, 2024 10:26 AM
HealthLynked Launches Virtual Urgent Care Through Partnership with Lyric Health. • HLYK • Sep 19, 2024 8:00 AM
Element79 Gold Corp. Appoints Kevin Arias as Advisor to the Board of Directors, Strengthening Strategic Leadership • ELMGF • Sep 18, 2024 10:29 AM
Mawson Finland Limited Further Expands the Known Mineralized Zones at Rajapalot: Palokas step-out drills 7 metres @ 9.1 g/t gold & 706 ppm cobalt • MFL • Sep 17, 2024 9:02 AM
PickleJar Announces Integration With OptCulture to Deliver Holistic Fan Experiences at Venue Point of Sale • PKLE • Sep 17, 2024 8:00 AM