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Thursday, September 06, 2018 12:05:40 AM
Thank you in the meantime for this:
There was zero anticipatory runup before both full-scale months-long cannabis manias we have seen thus far
The 2014 Colorado MJ Mania
The 2016 MJ Election Mania
No anticipatory runups with either one
The MJ sector was pretty dead during December 2013 and it was very dead throughout August 2016 — as a result, many thought that each of those catalysts was already priced-in — but both manias began very suddenly one day and for the next few months the entire cannabis sector was red hot
And both of those manias were based on dated catalysts of 1/1/14 and 11/8/16, respectively
So now we have a potential Hemp & CBD Mania with no actual date on the catalyst — the best one can do is default to using 9/30 because it is the expiration date of the current Farm Bill
So if the prior 2 full-scale Cannabis manias, with both of them possessing a dated mania-inducing catalyst, had no anticipatory runup, then why would we see one before Hemp & CBD Legalization, which doesn’t have a definitive date for the catalyst?
The answer is that we most likely will not
And that’s why the lack of an anticipatory runup thus far — the first two trading days of September have been pretty red for the entire Hemp & CBD sector — has zero predictive value for what will happen after Hemp & CBD are legalized when The 2018 Farm Bill is signed into law later this month
The past provides objective data
Assumptions that seem logical actually are not
This is not the NASDAQ or the NYSE
This is the OTC, which is probably one of the biggest reasons why we haven’t really seen a bona fide anticipatory runup into a cannabis mania yet
CANB
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