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PlentyParanoid

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PlentyParanoid

Re: Jhawker post# 236283

Monday, 08/06/2018 11:23:04 AM

Monday, August 06, 2018 11:23:04 AM

Post# of 403062
My first reaction: impossible question to answer and that means I like it. Trials can fail or succeed at any interim analysis (shortish time to failure/success) or in the final analysis (longish time to failure/success), different medical fields have widely different clinical trials and trial durations etc...

About trial success rates in general the largest study of its kind was published in January 2018 Biostatistics. It that is too daunting this is a nice summary article.

"I would rather have questions that can't be answered than answers that can't be questioned." Richard P. Feynman

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