Sino Agro Food Inc (fka SIAF)

[ks1977]

Material information may be released before, during or after

Yes, may be. And something like the TRW-loan would be released before, but for the TRW-dividend itself it seems like they will not issue a PR before (the Q2-report at least), i.e you need a different trigger than that if you need 60 cents before the Q2-report.

We could even get nothing for the next 5 weeks and then a sudden 100% gain in week 6

Yes, that is possible, especially if the market expects some good news in the Q2-report and/or expect the dumping to continue. For a normal company you should expect more than 60 cents before the Q2-report, even without the TRW-dividend, but SIAF isn't a normal company. It will be very interesting to see how the PPS moves the rest of the year, but there are too many uncertainties that I dare to speculate what it will be at (my bet is that the PPS will be higher than today, but how much and when it will advance is more unclear)

The important thing now is to get past the dumpage

Yes, it seems that the PPS will not move before the dilution ends. Also, the future value of the SIAF-share depends on how much dilution there is. It also give uncertainty, so the dumpage has at least a triple negative effect on the PPS.

Can't avoid to see the irony of the heavy dilution after the fear that struck the PPS from the possible sales of collateral. The current dilution is worse than the dilution we could have faces from the collateral shares and Garret's (original) toxic note combined... I think the irony is lost on Solomon though.