Cel Sci Corporation (CVM)

[lightrock]

If I do the 10% thing with the tables the way the guy did it, then we are at 265 events as of the article. 298-265 = 33 events remaining with effectiveness.

Or about 29 more survivors in the test group than in the control group.

So either way, we have between 10 and 33 events remaining.

As for rate... 928 * (3/7) * 2 = 795 test and control

289 or 265 expired since the start of the trial...

Oops, 294 or 269 ( found a booboo ), so 4 remaining or 29 remaining

This is the new column of events expected if the 10% OAS is achieved as applied to the monthly enrollments as per the article:

From this we have to expect 29 more, the rate of events is not very high.

24.13 ... i.e., 2011
24.13
4.57
7.50
4.57
6.66
4.44
6.34
5.07
6.78
6.16
6.47
6.47
7.48
8.68
9.27
7.78
7.25
9.57
5.51
8.43
10.68
7.35
8.98
7.89
7.35
8.42
10.79
4.66
7.84
7.11
6.61
4.96 ... last of 2016

But the "band" is "wide". 29 is still a lot.