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Re: ghmm post# 35739

Tuesday, 10/17/2006 7:18:38 PM

Tuesday, October 17, 2006 7:18:38 PM

Post# of 252761
>> Have a lot of thoughts on what this deal means for HCV drug development especially for Vertex (surprised others aren’t speculating) <<

Dew isn't a big fan of conspiracy theories , so that may be why nobody offered any speculations.

I don't think Roche and SGP will give up HCV market share without a fight , and I don't think they particularly care if it's a fair fight either.

Roche , especially , may be doubly-motivated to win the protease battle with VRTX. Boger said that the J&J offer wasn't the best deal from a strictly monetary viewpoint , and that other considerations came into play that resulted in the choice of J&J as a partner. I'd be willing to bet that Boger rejected a better offer from Roche , and that Roche would like nothing better than to make him regret it.

In a similar vein , the acquisition of Albuferon by NVS may have been at least partly driven by a desire to insulate the NVS HCV program from the nefarious practices of Roche and SGP.

BTW , the next time you offer to do a read-me-first on a new company , I'm gonna buy a bunch of it , so choose carefully !

wink
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