/ES futures 2763.75 = my 65% to 90% odds bet for the March 15th Thursday settlement price at day's end
I give 0% to 15% chance that price action will see the /ES touch or decline below $2648 between now and then
Note - /ES 2772.00 = High Volume of price prints have taken place in this region in the past, so will potentially act as a magnet in the future ... vigilance watch /ES 2772.00 when touched in the future, to see if an immediate push to the upper levels above takes place OR the advance is rejected by 2772.00 approach
* Important:
Top five sectors account for over 75% of the S&P 500 price action: XLK XLF XLV XLY XLI
XLK impacting approx. 25% of the S&P 500 price action each day is likely to break to new highs and hold above the prior high before March 15th close ... the XLK:SPY ratio has hovered near its new multi-decade level achieved last week ... the strongest sector continues to see the highest concentration of net buying pressure from fund managers
SPX daily with some basic upside retracement levels placed on the chart -
* I give 75 to 95% odds that the upside retracement of 75% to 90% will be achieved no later than April 10, 2018
whether the bulls or the bears actually execute in the near-term will be evident in what level of upside retracement actually prints on that chart by March 16th a.m.
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