FuelCell Energy Inc (FCEL)

[Hoghead7]

No worries what are they really expecting for revenues? I know they were expecting a loss of $0.20 a share I don't know exactly what they're expecting for revenues but they can't be expecting a quarter like the last one. We had $0.17 loss per share at 47 million. They were expecting 20 to $0.23 loss for share. and even then it didn't make the stock move anywhere is near what it should have. I think I mentioned before my hope is over 30 million. We're going to get something from the South Korea deal but not much. I'm guessing maybe $10 Million. They never specified the total they just said it was over 60 million dollar deal. If it was 65 million they would have said 65 million. So let's guest 62. I'm pretty sure they also said the final 15% of that will be paid when the project is fully completed and commissioned. So let's just call it $9,300,000. I don't remember if they stated how much of the money in the fourth quarter came from that project. But I believe they suggested it was supposed to be about $40 million. There's a lot of guessing here bought with a safety range of about 5 million I'm thinking we should be getting somewhere between 10 and 15 million from South Korea deal. I'm also shooting out a wild guess that are Revenue otherwise was averaging about 20 million per quarter before the South Korea deal. In revenue from service contracts is unpredictable based on timing but I'm guessing if you average out the last few quarters you should be pretty close and the power purchase agreement monies is only going to get bigger every quarter. Plus I'm hoping somehow the numbers are improved by the new tax incentives which I can't figure out but I'm sure they will elaborate in the conference call. So I'm thinking 10 to 15 million from South Korea then 10 to 15 million in other Revenue to play it safe. I'm hoping for more than 30 million but I don't think we're going to see any exact numbers from anybody until the 8th so it's all really a shot in the dark. But I'm pretty confident that over 30 would at least meet expectations and bring the stock back up where it should be. All just my hypothesis! Will know for sure on the 8th obviously. I wouldn't worry about it though Ballard is going to knock it out of the ballpark Thursday that will bring all of the fuel cell stocks at least some stability.