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Monday, February 12, 2018 8:42:34 PM
Brilacidin 3 known Indications - Annual (Very Conservative) Possible Market Value Sales for all 3 = 4 Billion
Prurisol - 1 known indication - Annual (Very Conservative) Possible Market Value Sales = 3 Billion
So for just the 2 Drugs Candidates I see at least 7 Billion annual in sales possible (again very conservative)
Let's say BP is looking for 5 year payback (figuring 1 year for Phase 3 trials and 1 year FDA approval process)
If both drug candidates once approved and selling for 3 years bring in 21 Billion (after the 2 years of trials/FDA approval process)
Let's say patents allow for 7 years exclusivity = 7 years x $21B = 147 Billion Total for BP buying IPIX
Let's say Fully Dilluted stock = 200 million shares x $100 per share = $20 Billion
So - and this is just something quick based off of what we know and what I think each drug indication (conservatively) will generate via sales annually - Your telling me that a BP would not pay $20 Billion for a possible $127 Billion + return ( $147 Billion - $20 Billion purchase = $127 Billion)
Now of course the BP's team would need to comb thru all the Phase 2's to see if they feel confident about what the Phase 3's test results would return.
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