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Tuesday, January 30, 2018 10:29:04 AM
What on earth are you talking about? Newly issued shares that are sold into the market look no different than existing shares being sold by one person to another. They are no different in time and sales. The only clues that might be available are how they are sold. If they are selling from a block then one can see it in the resulting net trade hitting the consolidated tape as retail doesn't use block position sales all that much.
IF there are enough buyers on any given day they can absorb the new shares without too much impact to the pps. If it was like back in April during the spike in buying demand the pps will go up. And conversely, alot of dilution will cause the pps to go down with an oversupply of shares.
It is purely supply and demand. Economics 101.
How many existing shareholders want to sell and how many NEW shares are being sold into the market at the same time?
Conversely, how many want to buy?
The ONLY way to discern "dilution" in real time is to get the OS in REAL TIME from the TA. Although it doesn't necessarily mean those new shares are being sold immediately by the note holder, in MOST cases they are. Quickly. Once the conversion occurs they assuming pricing risk. They can usually do it in the same day or next day if they are DWAC eligible.
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