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Tuesday, 01/16/2018 10:03:44 AM

Tuesday, January 16, 2018 10:03:44 AM

Post# of 7992
SPY RSI(14) 86.13. Not that I know anything about technical analysis.

the strong start to the year has pushed equity momentum to an extreme. The 14-period RSI for SPY ended Friday at 84, the highest in more than 20 years. The index has closed lower within the next 5 days every time except one, which closed lower 19 days later. Risk/reward over the next month was poor, i.e., gains were small and drawdowns large. However, 3 months later, the index closed higher in all instances but one (an 88% win-rate; from @Twillo1).

https://fat-pitch.blogspot.com/2018/01/weekly-market-summary.html

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