ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc (ARR)

[Porgie Tirebiter]

Very interesting calculator. Back when we were all arguing about ARR being a wise investment or not I remember coming across a white paper where the author was making a case for high yield being a value trap. His math was so compelling it convinced me at that time.

Just for a lark, I took that calculator and plugged in the top 5 yielding stocks on the Dow 30 (VZ, PFE, IBM, XOM, and MRK). They produced an average annualized performance of 6% which is not terribly shabby. Or maybe it is considering the bull market of the last ten years?

Then I plugged in the bottom 5 Dow yields (AXP, UNH, NKE, GS, and V). They produced an average annualized performance of 14.4%.

Dividend growth with a low yield. That's the secret sauce. And it's just about the opposite of the recipe most REITs seem to follow.