Monday, November 20, 2017 6:50:55 AM
Upsurge in big earthquakes predicted for 2018 as Earth rotation slows
"Iran-Iraq Earthquake Kills More Than 450"
Scientists say number of severe quakes is likely to rise strongly next year because of a periodic slowing of the Earth’s rotation
Robin McKie
Saturday 18 November 2017 17.00 EST
A child on a collapsed building at Darbandikhan, Sulaymaniyah, Iraq on Monday
after the north of the country and northern Iran were hit by a 7.3 magnitude
earthquake. Photograph: Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
[...]
Bilham and Bendick found that there had been periods of around five years when Earth’s rotation slowed by such an amount several times over the past century and a half. Crucially, these periods were followed by periods when the numbers of intense earthquakes increased.
“It is straightforward,” said Bilham. “The Earth is offering us a five-year heads-up on future earthquakes.”
This link is particularly important because Earth’s rotation began one of its periodic slowdowns more than four years ago. “The inference is clear,” said Bilham. “Next year we should see a significant increase in numbers of severe earthquakes. We have had it easy this year. So far we have only had about six severe earthquakes. We could easily have 20 a year starting in 2018.”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/nov/18/2018-set-to-be-year-of-big-earthquakes
"Iran-Iraq Earthquake Kills More Than 450"
Scientists say number of severe quakes is likely to rise strongly next year because of a periodic slowing of the Earth’s rotation
Robin McKie
Saturday 18 November 2017 17.00 EST
A child on a collapsed building at Darbandikhan, Sulaymaniyah, Iraq on Monday
after the north of the country and northern Iran were hit by a 7.3 magnitude
earthquake. Photograph: Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
[...]
Bilham and Bendick found that there had been periods of around five years when Earth’s rotation slowed by such an amount several times over the past century and a half. Crucially, these periods were followed by periods when the numbers of intense earthquakes increased.
“It is straightforward,” said Bilham. “The Earth is offering us a five-year heads-up on future earthquakes.”
This link is particularly important because Earth’s rotation began one of its periodic slowdowns more than four years ago. “The inference is clear,” said Bilham. “Next year we should see a significant increase in numbers of severe earthquakes. We have had it easy this year. So far we have only had about six severe earthquakes. We could easily have 20 a year starting in 2018.”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/nov/18/2018-set-to-be-year-of-big-earthquakes
It was Plato who said, “He, O men, is the wisest, who like Socrates, knows that his wisdom is in truth worth nothing”
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