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Re: trader53 post# 131593

Friday, 11/10/2017 2:39:59 AM

Friday, November 10, 2017 2:39:59 AM

Post# of 244522
S&P 500 - for Friday, November 10, 2017


https://caldaro.wordpress.com/

Thursday Update

Posted on November 9, 2017

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Saturday, 08/05/2017
MARKET SNAPSHOT: The Stock Market's
Historically Worst 2 Months Are Dead Ahead.
Time To Worry?

https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=133627254

Jun/Jul - are the Kick-off months in the OTC

June is among the worst months for stocks
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=131884045

Saturday, 06/03/17
MARKET SNAPSHOT: Stock Market Bracing
For Potentially The Most Explosive Stretch
Of Trading This Year

https://ih.advfn.com/p.php?pid=nmona&article=74919388

Sunday, 05/07/17
MARKET SNAPSHOT: "Sell in May and Go Away"

https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=131138607

Jan/Feb and Jun/Jul - are the Kick-off months in the OTC.

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LONG TERM: Uptrend

A New Bull Market - Primary III Underway

We are currently expecting SPX 3,000+
in the next 2 to 4 years


____________________________________________________________


MEDIUM TERM: Uptrend

SHORT TERM: gap down opening then lower, DOW -101


GOLD rallied $5, and the USD was lower.


The market gapped down at the open today
for the first time since last Monday.

Overnight volatility in Japan
and Senate/House Tax plan leaks
fueled the decline.


By 12:30 the SPX had hit 2566,
last week’s low, and then rebounded.

Quite a drop
from Tuesday’s SPX 2597 all-time high.

While there was several potential counts
floating around
heading into today,
it appears all but two have been eliminated.

Either Micro wave 5
just set up an irregular wave 2:
2588-(2566-2597-2566)-xxxx,
and will move higher shortly.

Or,
Minute iii ended at SPX 2588,
and everything since then
has been past of Minute iv.

Including the potential
head and shoulders pattern:

2588-2597-2586 on the daily charts.

We’re going to use the parameters
set up by the market to decide.

A breakout above SPX 2597
and Micro 5 extends,

a breakdown below SPX 2566
and Minute iv continues.


Short term support
is at the 2575 pivot and SPX 2566,
with resistance at the 2594 and 2632 pivots.

Short term momentum
put in a very slight positive divergence
at today’s lows.



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Best to your trading!

Trade what’s in front of you!


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USD - Futures Charts (Hourly)



GOLD - Futures Charts (Hourly)



S&P 500 - Futures Charts (Hourly)



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USD - Futures Charts (Daily)



GOLD - Futures Charts (Daily)



S&P 500 - Futures Charts (Daily)



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Since 1929 there have been 13 bull markets
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=116564037

LONG TERM: uptrend

This week let’s look at the big picture.
The very big picture.


While published data on the US stock market
only began in the year 1885,

we have been able to piece together,
using secular Saeculum cycles and economic cycles,
how the US market would have looked
from the early 1700’s.

As an emerging growth economy
the US would have not looked anything like
the European markets
that do have stock market data going back that far.
That data was not considered.

From around the year 1700 to 1929
the US experienced a 200+ year
grand super cycle bull market GSC 1

The 1929-1932 crash,
when the stock market lost nearly 90% of its value,
ended GSC 2

While short in time
the crash made up for it in price damage.


A GSC 3 bull market began at that 1932 low.

Within GSC 1 there were five super cycles, approximately:
SC1 1700-1770
SC2 1770-1776
SC3 1776-1850
SC4 1850-1857
SC5 1857-1929


Within the current GSC 3
there have been two completed super cycles,
with the third underway:
SC1 1932-2007
SC2 2007-2009
SC3 2009-xxxx


Since super cycle bull markets last 70+ years,
this SC3 is not likely to top until around the year 2080.


Within each super cycle bull market
there are five Cycle waves.

SC1 of GSC 3 divided as follows:
C1 1932-1937
C2 1937-1942
C3 1942-1973
C4 1973-1974
C5 1974-2007


Notice the Cycle wave bull markets
can be as short as 5 years or as long as 30+ years.


Also note, no matter the wave degree
the bear markets are always much shorter in time
than the bull markets.





Since super cycle bull markets last 70+ years,
this SC3 is not likely to top until around the year 2080.





http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=W&yr=1&mn=1&dy=0&id=p83822707561

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=1&mn=1&dy=0&id=p43140782454

http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=ES&p=h1

http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=ES&p=d1





















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