Sunday, October 22, 2017 10:43:21 PM
Friday contract price Dec 2017 = 3.118
contract price for Jan 2018 = 3.283
if demand keeps rising
how will Contango be affected
at these demands
will natty Dec contract price fall
or
keep going upward
natty contract price rolls into Jan 2018 = 3.283
how will roll over be affected if demand stays constant
causing futures prices to rise
considering colder than normal weather demand for natty
what happens if shorts continue to cover
driving Jan and Feb contracts higher
Legacy COT reported Large Spec. 55990 short , Small spec. 21546 Long and Commercial 34334 Long . The net short position of large spec. reduced their short contracts by 23908 contracts from previous week . making it the first time short position was reduced in 5 weeks.
eb n flow of market
we went from 3.00 to 3.30 this time last year
not saying we will go to 3.30
where do we land is question
Dec of 2016 the high was 4.00
not saying we get that high
we have lot more natty in ground this year compared to last year
but
think we could go higher this year
could we hit 3.70 ish
not sure.....depends on winter demands....how cold we get this year
there will be the natural eb n flow of the market
cold weeks....then....warm weeks....back to cold weeks
play it well folks
shall see how it goes this winter
cc
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