Wednesday, October 11, 2017 8:33:53 PM
I think this is an interesting question; one of those that I would like to revisit later when we know to check response. Below all my disclaimers, is my total guess...
I started very skeptical. but the technical bits ended up winning me over. SInce I have some experience with software and telephony, I'm inclined to feel like i understand aspects of this more than most; like the scope of this technology. If the patents are held as valid, they seem far-reaching and general - it will have broad applicability.
I don't have any particular confidence that VPLM will win, but i think they have some chance. I think it more depends on the PTAB/IPR, and probably Apple. One reason I'm willing to speculate (notice I did not say invest) is because of that upside being so high in relative terms, and in a way that I feel I can personally validate.
I am thoroughly disappointed in our patent system and it seems like 20 years ago this wouldn't even be a question. Perhaps the IPR process is needed, having handed out too many patents some of them need to be invalidated - but it still seems fundamentally flawed and I'm sure the big boys navigate the hell out of these scenarios while the little guys fight for their lives. PTAB/IPR process is a critical element of this case, I believe, which I have almost zero visibility on and which is obviously high stakes poker that I qualified to measure in any real way. I hope we get a fair shake @ the PTAB.
I'm prepared to lose all of my "bet", instantly.
My best current guess as to why the value of VPLM is disfavored in the market.
- people don't understand
- people assume its of of the pump n dumps we all know of
- people who do understand, also understand that the patent threat isn't real until the IPRs are over
- generally, I think the VOIP/patent world just missed it - whomever all the smart people were in that patent space - the big boys just flat missed it and assumed it was generalized tech. It's not. It's been patented.
- VPLM has been expensive, thinking they have the "goodies" and thus the potential buy-in would be too excessive without IPR validation.
There ya go. Flame away at my ridiculous stupidity. :)
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