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Re: SC777 post# 5921

Sunday, 10/08/2017 10:57:29 PM

Sunday, October 08, 2017 10:57:29 PM

Post# of 19338
I'm going to go out on a limb and say there are more than 100m shares. Don't forget pik interest every quarter and them potentially diluting via restructuring the first lien and or additional 2ND lien convertible notes. Whatever it is don't assume 74 million shares if anything 74 X 1.45 107 million shares (not exactly) based on the warrant factor and that's an old number probably higher if not significantly higher.

I came up with.14 for every 10 million over the adjusted equity value. The adjusted equity value in not clear though and don't forget the first lien.

Approximately 126 million first lien
Probably more they restructured
100 million second lien
410 million unsecured
40-50 pik interest

Approximately 680 million until warrants are in the money minus restricted cash and cash equivalents.

Or
if you break it down multiplying our buy in. 6.40 X 12.5 million X 5.71= 456 million

456 million + 126 first lien.

It's hard to pin down a number for the adjusted equity value. Assuming we get 17.5 out of every 100 over the adjusted equity value.

17.5 / 12.5 1.40$ a warrant every hundred million over the adjusted equity value. Don't worry about the dilution of shares just look at out cut. Still I am pretty confident the total share count is well over 74 million. Remember the shares are continuously being diluted the warrants have protection.


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