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Re: StockRanger8000 post# 78439

Wednesday, 09/27/2017 10:36:05 AM

Wednesday, September 27, 2017 10:36:05 AM

Post# of 95189
I am not sure how you can conclude that the revenue is too small and the impact on the pps..
1) project.
110m initial investment versus 17M yearly revenu before.
question: what is your IRR expectation or Net present value of such project?
Obviously numbers will depend on different aspect of the financing:
- how much from the capital
- how much form lenders - and % of remuneration for the lender.
Without this information, it is difficult to tell what is the profitability of such investment.
Only information: 6.5 year of revenue to recoup initial investment.

But then. what discounted value do you apply for future stream of revenue, for how many years...
What is the normal life cycle of such project ? 15-20-25y ? 50y
How much to spend to maintain the infrastructure per year ?
You see.. many variables....

So if you get a 100M loan at Libor + x% + 10M in capital increase, spend 110M in 3 years to complete construction, receive 17M per year... with interest rate around 1% for no-risk investment.
What is good, what is not ?

2) share price
What should be the effect on pps of such project:
a) from a dormant shell to an active project... I guess it derisks your investment.
b) This validates the Company itself... This is the first project....
c) what multiple of future earnings should we apply (what P/E) ?

Eager to read your analysis and how you have calculated that this project itself should not translate in a 0.15 cente per shares value.



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