Tuesday, September 26, 2017 2:32:08 AM
Oren1976, you can't just average the trial enrollment dates. Indeed, events happen *after* a given number of months pass.
As an example to prove my point, assume half the patients were enrolled in March 2016 and the other half in March 2017, the average enrollment date is September 2016. However, most of the March 2017 cohort would be expected to be alive in both arms...
Without having a precise idea of the enrollment dates, one cannot make predictions about the date when 189 events will be reached. Only those privy to the actual enrollment dates can do such predictions.
We know that the official date for the meeting regarding p3 top-line results with the FDA is scheduled for early 2018. The rest is hearsay.
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