Thursday, August 17, 2017 12:31:20 PM
Taking some assumptions and guestimates on current business run rate of 25 million with a near break even situation, its not hard to see where a purchaser could cut 5 million just on duplications and further cutting. Add to this the PV of the 200 million in NOLs...
So to a purchaser with a 20 to 1 PE running, just the current AMDA test marketing and impeded sales would be worth 100 million plus probably another 70 million in NOL PV ... so 170 million value there just for the basically scratching the surface of potential sales, and until just recently really no meaningful sales program... and basically what I see as test marketing of their material science to date....
So this analysis of course leaves out entirely the much much more significant component of value in amda, which is being dressed down as much as possible currently by those accumulating... and that is the tech itself and its very large potential addressable market.
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