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Re: makingbiigdough post# 9475

Wednesday, 07/26/2017 11:00:37 AM

Wednesday, July 26, 2017 11:00:37 AM

Post# of 41257
Good questions MBD...
Nontypical things happen to nontypical companies...
IMO the last two year take down of amda share price presents circumstances that are highly unusual (non-typical). There was a combination of "crazy" equity financings in 14/15 (a high school student could have done far better for amda), and the dreaded (and extremely damaging) financing with Hercules with the "crazy" restrictive M&A terms. Layer on a a huge established industry scared to death of their sales being disrupted (and willing to bash), and then layer on again umpteen short and distort groups seeing this combination of characteristics as a licence to print money... This was *extremely* nontypical.... even in the wild and wooly world of start ups and venture capital. All this happening while amda holds the holy grail of medical material for ortho implants...

Well now the financings have normalized and very critically the Hercules loan is nearing maturity. IMO this signals the unwinding of all that has happened in the last several years. An analogy is the more you compress a spring the harder the recoil. Right now the share price has no relation at all to the underlying value of the tech at amda.... All the bears can say is "look at the trend down" or so and so is incompetent or overpaid etc... They never talk about the tech or the history of "compressing the spring"... So in light of the nontypical history I am expecting a nontypical response...BTW this is another reason I expect a deal done soon, is that they do not want the spring to blast loose beforehand. Seems like a perfect chance (surreal actually) for a competitor to get in cheep, or at least ensure fair market price paid .. AMDA is a fully compressed spring right now and the hercules loan is about to come off (if not already)....





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