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Sunday, July 09, 2017 9:00:23 AM
If RS in the meantime, the numbers all scale uniformly based on the ratio, and the end results will be the same percentage of market cap. I think my 350,000 shares worked out to be .0012 of outstanding shares, or 0.12% of the company. If market cap goes to (random number) $4B, I'll have about $5M before taxes with no further dilution. Assuming dilution will double the current outstanding shares, I'll have $2.5M before taxes. With you 300K shares, you would be about 14% below that. If market cap is $2B, cut those numbers in half. If $8B, double them. ISRG market cap is just shy of $35B right now.The assumption is that newcomers to the market (Titan. TRXC, etc.) will not so much cut into the total market as expand it; all the projections are for the robotic surgical market to grow (to around $20B/year by 2020 or something like that). There is room for several companies to have multi-billion dollar market caps.
Of course, it also depends upon program success, and upon your willingness to ride it out. I assume some folks are going to want out when they turn even a slight profit because the roller coaster ride has been just a bit too intense! But that's just when it should start getting fun again!
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