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Re: ReturntoSender post# 6854

Thursday, 06/29/2017 6:14:43 PM

Thursday, June 29, 2017 6:14:43 PM

Post# of 12809
From Briefing.com: 4:31 pm Closing Market Summary: Stocks Settle Solidly Lower on Thursday (:WRAPX) :

Thursday's session looked eerily similar to Tuesday's session as the top-weighted technology sector (-1.8%) led the S&P 500 (-0.9%) solidly lower, the financials (+0.7%) and energy (+0.1%) sectors outperformed, and Treasuries tumbled across the curve. The Dow (-0.8%) settled roughly in line with the benchmark index while the Nasdaq (-1.4%) underperformed. All three major averages closed in the middle of the day's trading range.

The S&P 500 opened Thursday's session with a slim gain, but immediately started trending downward as the bearish sentiment within the technology sector caught fire in the broader market. Only two sectors--financials and energy--were able to dodge the wave of selling pressure and finish the day in positive territory. As for the laggards, the technology space led the retreat with a big decline of 1.8% while the others settled with losses between 0.8% (industrials) and 1.2% (consumer staples).

There wasn't a specific reason for today's slide, but another quick jump in long-term rates certainly didn't help. Treasuries moved lower in a curve-steepening trade after inflation data from Germany came in stronger than expected; the 10-yr yield climbed four basis points to 2.27% and the 2-yr yield ticked up one basis point to 1.37%. The U.S. Dollar Index (95.34, -0.44) also finished solidly lower, dropping 0.5% to a nine-month low.

Technology components were hit hard virtually across the board with mega-cap names like Apple (AAPL 143.68, -2.15), Microsoft (MSFT 68.49, -1.31), Facebook (FB 151.04, -2.20), and Alphabet (GOOGL 937.82, -23.19) finishing with losses between 1.4% and 2.4%. Chipmakers were among the weakest performers, sending the PHLX Semiconductor Index lower by 2.5%. For the week, the tech group trades at the bottom of the sector standings with a loss of 2.8%.

Meanwhile, in the financial sector, banks moved solidly higher after the Federal Reserve approved the capital plans of all 34 firms required to partake in its annual stress test. In many instances, those plans included larger than expected dividend increases and/or share buyback programs. Influential names like Wells Fargo (WFC 55.78, +1.45), Citigroup (C 66.98, +1.80), Bank of America (BAC 24.32, +0.44), and JPMorgan Chase (JPM 91.15, +1.33) finished with gains between 1.5% and 2.8%.

Crude oil eked out a slim victory, its sixth in a row, which helped the energy sector fend off the bears throughout Thursday's session. WTI crude advanced 0.1% to a price of $44.76/bbl. However, the commodity's performance was somewhat disappointing considering it held a much more substantial gain of 1.5% early on Thursday morning.

In U.S. corporate news, Rite Aid (RAD 2.89, -1.04) and Walgreens Boot Alliance (WBA 78.37, +1.28) terminated their merger agreement and signed a new deal whereby Walgreens will acquire 2,186 RAD stores, related distribution assets, and inventory from Rite Aid for an all-cash purchase price of $5.175 billion. The divestiture agreement with Fred's (FRED 9.51, -2.81) was also terminated. FRED shares plunged 22.8% following the termination of the WBA/RAD deal, while RAD shares tumbled 26.5% and WBA shares added 1.7%.

It's also worth pointing out that the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX 11.56, +1.53, +15.3%), which is often referred to as the "investor fear gauge", spiked to its highest level in over five weeks.

Reviewing Thursday's economic data, which included Initial Claims and the third estimate of first quarter GDP:

The latest weekly initial jobless claims count totaled 244,000 while the Briefing.com consensus expected a reading of 241,000. Today's tally was above the revised prior week count of 242,000 (from 241,000). As for continuing claims, they rose to 1.948 million from the revised count of 1.942 million (from 1.944 million).
The key takeaway from the report is that it continues to support the notion that the labor market is tight, as employers appear reluctant to let employees go.
The third reading of first quarter GDP pointed to an expansion of 1.4%, while the Briefing.com consensus expected a reading of 1.2%. The third estimate of first quarter GDP Deflator came in at 1.9%, which is below the Briefing.com consensus of 2.2%.
The key takeaway is that first quarter GDP growth was better than expected, but as the report from the BEA itself says, "...the general picture of economic growth remains the same," which is to say it remains below potential.

On Friday, investors will receive several economic reports, including May Personal Income and Personal Spending (Briefing.com consensus 0.3%; 0.1%) at 8:30 ET, June Chicago PMI (Briefing.com consensus 57.8) at 9:45 ET, and the final reading of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for June (Briefing.com consensus 94.7) at 10:00 ET.
Nasdaq Composite +14.1% YTD
S&P 500 +8.1% YTD
Dow Jones Industrial Average +7.7% YTD
Russell 2000 +4.4% YTD

4:08 pm Micron beats by $0.11, beats on revs; guides Q4 EPS above consensus, revs in-line (MU) :
Reports Q3 (May) earnings of $1.62 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.11 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of $1.51; revenues rose 92.2% year/year to $5.57 bln vs the $5.41 bln Capital IQ Consensus.

The fiscal third quarter revenue increase of 20 percent compared to the previous quarter was due primarily to a 14 percent increase in DRAM average selling prices and a 17 percent increase in trade NAND sales volumes.

On a GAAP basis, gross margin was 46.9 percent compared to gross margin of 36.7 percent for the second quarter of fiscal 2017 and gross margin of 17.2 percent , for the third quarter of fiscal 2016. Guidance was 44-48%

Operating Cash Flow $2.41 bln

Co issues guidance for Q4, sees EPS of $1.73-1.87, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $1.60 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; sees Q4 revs of $5.7-6.1 bln vs. $5.63 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate.

Ramping 64-layer 3D NAND and 1x DRAM; expect to achieve meaningful output by end of 2017; Initial revenue has been recognized.

DRAM Industry bit supply growth 15-20% in 2017
NAND industry bit supply growth of high 30s to low 40s% in 2017

Expect healthy industry demand to persist into 2018
Q3 Gross Margin 47-51%
Q3 Operating Income $2.2-2.4 bln

Tech Stocks from Briefing.com

A pretty poor session out of almost the entire market ended with the Nasdaq Composite again almost doubling up the percentage losses of the next worst index. The Nasdaq Composite finished 90.06 points lower (-1.44%) to 6144.35. The S&P 500 declined 20.99 points (-0.86%) to 2419.70, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 167.58 (-0.78%) to 21287.03.

Economic data today included the latest weekly initial jobless claims count totaled 244,000 compared to the revised prior week count of 242,000 (from 241,000). As for continuing claims, they rose to 1.948 million from the revised count of 1.942 million (from 1.944 million). Also, the third reading of first quarter GDP pointed to an expansion of 1.4%, while the third estimate of first quarter GDP Deflator came in at 1.9%.

The Technology (XLK 54.77, -1.00 -1.79%) space returned to its bearish ways today, ending a clean point down compared to yesterday's close. Component Advanced Micro (AMD 12.60, -0.63 -4.76%) was the worst performer today, succumbing to the broader pressure despite announced another tier of CPU in its Ryzen PRO desktop processor portfolio. The Materials XLB -1.16% sector followed tech for the worst performing S&P sector today, followed by IYZ -1.16%, XLP -1.10%, XLRE -1.01%, XLY -0.97%, XLV -0.95%, XLI -0.82%, XLU -0.80%, XLE +0.20%, XLF +0.69%.

In the S&P 500 Information Technology (941.33, -17.57 -1.83%) space turned in, by all accounts, an abysmal Thursday finish after rocking lows near the $933 level slightly after noon. By our coverage, not a single S&P 500 IT name finished in the green today, with notable names in the red including LRCX -3.71%, KLAC -3.37%, NVDA -3.34%, STX -3.16%, MCHP -3.07%, AMAT -2.93%, AVGO -2.91%, SYMC -2.87%, XLNX -2.77%, ADSK -2.77%, MA -2.64%, HPQ -2.55%, QRVO -2.52%.

Other notable news items among sector components:
Baidu.com (BIDU 179.63, +1.63 +0.92%) priced an offering of US$1.5 billion aggregate principal amount of its notes.

ScanSource (SCSC 39.80, -0.25 -0.62%) acquired POS Portal for an upfront payment of about $145 million.

Microsoft (MSFT 68.49, -1.31 -1.88%) acquired Cloudyn; terms not disclosed.

Dialog Semiconductor (DLGNF 43.13, -0.07 -0.16%) invested an additional $15 million in Energous (WATT 16.45, +1.06 +6.89%).

Gilat Satellite (GILT 4.95, +0.18 +3.77%) and Intelsat (I 3.03, -0.13 -4.11%) announced a joint managed services solution to provide 3G infrastructure.

Alibaba (BABA 140.81, -3.14 -2.18%) may be planning an Echo-like Chinese voice-controlled speaker, according to The Information.

In reaction to quarterly results:

Progress Software (PRGS 30.64, -0.18 -0.58%) reported better than expected Q2 EPS and revenues of $0.42 and $93.2 million, respectively. For Q3, the company sees in-line EPS of $0.41-0.43 on worse than expected revenues of $93-96 million. For FY17, PRGS sees EPS ahead of market expectations at $1.73-1.78 and revenues in-line at $391-396 million.

Analyst actions:

GRPN was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at B. Riley & Co.,
SYMC was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Standpoint Research;
EMKR was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at B. Riley & Co.,
UMC was downgraded to Underperform at Macquarie;
PANW and FTNT were initiated with Outperform ratings at Northland Capital,
AZPN was initiated with a Neutral at Wedbush,
MODN was initiated with a Buy at Dougherty

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