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Tuesday, June 06, 2017 10:52:32 AM
Dilution by 4x occurs when warrants are exercised. Then another level of dilution occurs when preferreds are converted to commons. Then another level of dilution occurs when brand new shares are issued and offered on the open market to start the recapitalization. Then a final level of dilution of commons occurs when yet a 2nd capital-raising issuance of brand new shares happens a year later. That's 4 episodes of dilution, with the exercise of warrants being the most severe, and the conversion of preferreds into commons being, if i'm correct, the least severe.
If NWS overage were applied to capital and the warrants canceled, the value of commons would be probably up in that $50-125 range (according to valuations done by the real Tim Howard and others), depending on how any additional recap were executed. But after the Blueprint is executed, the pps of commons will be around $9-13, it appears.
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