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Monday, June 05, 2017 9:26:42 PM
The main driver of a company share price is perception of not only where a company IS but where the company WILL be. It's a VALUATION. For easy math, VALUATION is often looked at on the surface as MULTIPLES OF THE EARNINGS. Of course, many other factors are involved for a specific valuation number, but for "market cap", it's kept simple to earnings (revenue). When a company considers themselves a "billion dollar company", they are referring to sales, revenue or earnings.
That FUTURE worth is generally placed higher or lower for various sectors by the market. In the Tech sector, figuring a 10x VALUATION is safe.
So, given $500MM in yearly earnings, a 10x VALUATION = $5BB MC
But, again, not only would we have FY'17 fins by EOY 2018, we would have 10Q's of 2018 in the bag as well.
100 reps working for the company by then? I can see $2-3BB (say $2.75BB for math) revs easy given all I mentioned.
So, I just plug it in...$2.75BB revs x 10 = $27.5BB estimated market cap (MC). Closing share price = $5 (P) and shares outstanding = 5.5BB (N)...
MC = N x P
$27.5BB = 5.5BB x $5.00
NASDAQ BOUND!
Again, do I sincerely think EOY 2018 we could see upwards to $2-3BB in earnings?
YES, INDEEDY.
JMO,
lns
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