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Thursday, April 06, 2017 1:00:03 PM
No Matter How You Look At The Data
As Long As It Is Consistent With Itself
The Trend Clearly Shows Contraction
ROUNDED DATA FROM COMPANY
JAN 2016: 15.5K Rx / 24 W-Days = 646
FEB 2016: 16.7K Rx / 24 W-Days = 696
MAR 2016: 18.6K Rx / 27 W-Days = 689
APR 2016: 16.5K Rx / 26 W-Days = 635
MAY 2016: 17.5K Rx / 25 W-Days = 700
JUN 2016: 18.0K Rx / 26 W-Days = 692
JUL 2016: 16.6K Rx / 25 W-Days = 664
OLD AVE: 119.4K Rx / 177 W-Days = 675
THEN A SMALL GROWTH SPURT
Spurt Averaged 61 Extra Rx Per W-Day
AUG 2016: 20.0K Rx / 27 W-Days = 741
SEP 2016: 19.0K Rx / 25 W-Days = 760
OCT 2016: 18.6K Rx / 25 W-Days = 744
NOV 2016: 18.5K Rx / 24 W-Days = 771
DEC 2016: 18.0K Rx / 26 W-Days = 692
JAN 2017: 17.5K Rx / 24 W-Days = 729
FEB 2017: 16.5K Rx / 23 W-Days = 717
NEW AVE: 128.1K Rx / 174 W-Days = 736
GROWTH HAS NOW FLATTENED
NEW AVE: 128.1K Rx / 174 W-Days = 736
Reflects Average Obtained After Small
Growth Spurt During Middle Of Year.
( Spurt Added 61 Extra Rx Per W-Day )
You Can See Growth Is Slowing Down
And Appears To Now Be In Contraction.
CONTRACTION BEGINS TO SET IN
THE MARCH GROWTH PREDICTION
MARCH "SHOULD" BE AROUND :
EVEN: 19.87K Rx / 27 W-Days = 736
Each New Month Will Pull The Average
Up Or Down Into Growth Or Contraction
IF MARCH IS BELOW 736 = NEG GROWTH
IF MARCH IS ABOUT 736 = NO GROWTH
IF MARCH IS ABOVE 736 = POS GROWTH
JMO
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