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Friday, November 18, 2016 10:24:35 AM
As the GAO noted - very matter of factly - there was a remnant implied guarantee that served F and F well
F and F became oligopolistic due to a lower cost of capital relative to any other player
That oligopoly is not great - even if it worked
A. Explicit guarantee (post huge exposure to F and F and tons of risk sharing agreements to push the risk far and wide) . Anyone who wanted to be in the MBS business and met key standards would be allowed to use this GOV guarantee. Reduces advantage to just F and F but is a good free market solution that F and F with their book of business - contacts - and head start would thrive in. (Plus most if not all of the competitors would be originators of mortgages as well as PLMBS paper - leaving all the banks and others who make mortgages but are too small to do their own private label to work with F and F. This would be a great market with a premium margin, F and F would also at minimum get a ton of large bank business as those banks would be wise to spread their risk over to F and F for say half their origination
B. A privately held sole utility model - with the dividends to common and preferred shares that would follow
Those IMO both work
Killing F and F and tossing everything to private - with no GOV backstop is way too dangerous and not necessary IMO. I say not necessary as we can get the competitive (or regulatory) gains without this exposure to failure on Trillions of dollars
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