Rumors over Chinese exports lift US tungsten prices
New York (Platts)--10Aug2006 Rumors that export licences have mostly been used up by Chinese exporters helped lift prices in the US for ammonium paratungstate. A consumer said he had been offered material at in excess of $250/st and turned it down, but other consumers and a producer put the market at $235-245/st, which was where the Platts assessment was Thursday for US imported material, up from $230-235/st the previous week. However, there was no business reported, although one consumer said that other end users that had not booked fourth-quarter material may struggle to secure supplies and will be forced to look elsewhere. He said that the export license expiration issue did not normally emerge until the second-half of October. However, this year had been an exception and was due to larger volumes exported from China, due to robust consumption in Europe and North America. He predicted prices could go to $270/st by the end of this year. Another consumer said that he had also heard that Chinese licenses were running out quickly, but doubted whether consumers who had not booked for Q4 delivery would necessarily be in trouble. "People may buy Q4 material and take enough for delivery in the first few weeks of 2007 to tide them over until the new liceses are issued. The timing of the new licenses all depends on when Chinese New Year is." The first consumer said that a late Chinese lunar New Year would make things worse. Next year, Chinese New Year falls on February 18 and fresh import licenses are unlikely to be issued before then, the consumer said. This year it fell in late January. But a producer said that while prices were going up and licenses were likely to be fully used at an earlier point this year compared with last, he did not think that everything was about to dry up suddenly. "Prices are certainly moving up, but we haven't done anything specific," he said. Meanwhile, there were also rumors that the major ore miners are getting close to their maximum production quotas this year, which has also supported prices of APT. An APT consumer said that he had heard rumors that the main producer Jiangxi Tungsten Group only had licenses to produce another 3,000 mt of concentrate for the remainder of this year. "That would barely cover a major ferrotungsten campaign," he said. --Anthony Poole; anthony_poole@platts.com
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