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Alias Born | 05/19/2014 |
Monday, September 26, 2016 8:29:46 AM
Current price is rational only if you assume that you can win in 10 years and get paid out $25.
Future Value = 25
Years = 10
Discount Rate = 20%
Present Value = $4
If you assume that there is only a 20% chance of being paid out, your present value = $4 x 20% = 80 cents
So, I think I will only buy more when it is down below at 20 cents per piece of Choco Cake. Yummy yummy Cocoa Cake!
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