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Re: Gustavo Fring post# 5955

Thursday, 09/01/2016 4:10:20 PM

Thursday, September 01, 2016 4:10:20 PM

Post# of 8579
Gustavo, FWIW I think the nature of the beast as regards VHUB is that it's got a (my guess) 40% shot of becoming profitable and getting its debt taken care of, a 35% shot of just keeping itself as a going concern but being so stock-bloated by toxic debt conversions that the stock price will just bump along, and a 25% chance of being destroyed by a combination of toxic debt, the FDA, and the limitations inherent in family-management of a company.

If the first scenario comes to pass, let's say that the stock will be worth 10 cents per share, if the second scenario comes to pass the stock will be worth 2 cents per share, and if the third scenario comes to pass the stock will be worth zilch. So, on a weighted average probability calculation, the stock would be worth 4.7 cents versus around a penny these days.

Everybody gets to figure out their own possible scenarios and the probability they'd attach to each scenario, coupled with their mind-set on taking risks (somebody with my aversion to risk would just not invest in the penny stock market at all - I just sort of have an academic interest in it).

Overall, as this company has crossed the million dollars in sales per month benchmark, I would find it hard to believe that they haven't turned the corner in becoming profitable. ...with the question being the number of issued common shares that will have a stake in that profit.