Friday, July 15, 2016 2:40:08 AM
I share some of your considerations, but I am more aggressive on the share price effect coming from an upfront payment.
You said maybe we get over 3; an upfront payment will come with a more comprehensive Agreement, therefore giving a more precise idea of future cash income.
Anyway, a 50mln upfront would mean almost 2$ per share of cash...therefore I think that predicting a price around 3$ it is very conservative.
An important point is HOW we arrive at that point (Agreement announcement); if we are at 1$ or less, than I agree with your 3$ or little above. Another story if we arrive there and we are above 2$.
Also consider that short squeeze coming once it becomes clear the company's future is changing
I'm not saying we fly.
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