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Re: 5TOP post# 4168

Tuesday, 06/28/2016 10:49:56 PM

Tuesday, June 28, 2016 10:49:56 PM

Post# of 233654
"#3 If we get acquired after FDA approval we can expect an offer much closer to $12-18 billion (2-3 times market share), not $6 billion."

12-18 billion? That's a bit of a stretch.

The general rule of thumb for biotech buyouts is that most companies are only willing to pay what they think they will make in sales in the first 5-year period that the drug goes to market.

I think 1-3 billion is a much more appropriate estimate, with 5-6 billion being the very high end of things.

That being said, that's still a lot of money for the shareholders if a buyout happened. I'm looking forward to it all going that smoothly.
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