Ya know RV, I've been here a long time too. And I feel the same way about the bears. Like some MUST be paid. But then I see what's really going on- the growing company hitting bumps in the road. Looking in the rear view mirror, it always makes sense. But looking forward it's like we have a brown bag over our head. Does it make sense? Can I rationalize it? Was it expected? I mean really, expected, no. I think many of us expected net profits... anyone saying they expected a net loss today is either lying or knew something the rest of us didn't. Something else I didn't expect was 19 mil revenue- WOW... come on- I didn't see that coming. I honestly expected like 15. Thought maybe even 10-14 could happen. I expected more than 10. I was really hoping for 17.2 or more to make a sequential gain QOQ. But 19?!?! I didn't expect that either. So expectations are junk and differ so much.
Making sense though? Sure- when I first saw the numbers- they didn't make sense, but then the report comes out- and it explained clearly, that the weather affected them, turning what could have been a slight net profit to a net loss. So yes, that makes sense.
I think many here are like myself, long. We promote this in hopes that our promotion insulates our holdings from the constant bear attacks of late. My fears are that if I stop posting- and everyone stops posting, who's going to combat the nonsense? So many read this- So many like ourselves are looking for the explanation, and then we ask ourselves if it makes sense, and then we make decisions, sell, hold, buy. I used to just read the garbage, and I really loved reading the bull and bear cases. Sometimes it's clear which is the garbage nonsense position, and sometimes it's not as clear. Then I started writing...at first asking questions, learning...then actually answering questions that were easy and simple, and now I'm a kitchen sink of useless information on this company. And again- defending "my" investment. Maybe my words fall on deaf ears- maybe one person reads my writing and doesn't sell, or buys... It shouldnt matter really, but I think that's why many of the longs here take such a staunch position against those that attack the company.
I've read every argument- bull and bear. I've read every argument that this board and the material matters and doesn't matter. I've had long conversations with family, friends and complete strangers online about this stock, the merits- the pro's the con's the risks...
I mean what I read, what I've learned here over the years, and what I see now compared to the days of OTC are SO different, yet so similar. Bulls and bears, battling it out... Everyone thinks they are right, and many are. The facts are the facts, and the opinions differ, sometimes while examining what many agree are the exact same facts....
So in the end you have to make the choice again and again, buy, sell, hold. Even great companies have lousy days/weeks/months in the market. Some have big social media presence, some have none. The ones that have none seem to act the same as the ones with huge presence... so maybe we are just all wasting our time here... but at least we are gaining some sort of perspective on the "why" it's doing what it's doing.
Some days I feel like a dog, chewing a toy, staring at a nuclear reactor. No clue what's going on in there, but it's a nice day and I'm chewing on something and that thing looks neat.
Some days I have more clarity.
Today I see a new stock, had a run for a year, it retraced for a year. It's trending up the last few months, but it's dropped the last few weeks to the support line of the uptrend. As it drops people complain more. If we get a solid bounce tomorrow, we'll get a lot of sighs of relief while it goes up while others say it's not enough, and others are winning because they just got in. There is a huge spectrum of thoughts, levels of knowledge, and degrees of profitability based on entries and positions. There's tiny share traders- long holders, all the way to hedge funds and institutional holders like vanguard with their 700K holdings. Am I happy? yes- does this stock frustrate me? Yes. Does this board frustrate me? Yes. Do I think this will take off, Yes. Do I think some people are getting paid Bulls or bears? Yes. Am I paid? No- only "attempting" to protect my position, if it's in vein, oh well, I have free time to post and I enjoy writing.
If this goes away I'll post it elsewhere. I hope many enjoyed it. I think this company is solid and I think it is going places. I think many don't want that to happen. I think the owners are not crooks nor thieves and I think they are doing their best to ensure we all are happy in the end.
So yeah, I hear ya. I feel the same way most days, and the hellishly introspective days like today are no exception.
Good luck, lets see a reversal pop tomorrow off that lower trend line and get some good mojo flowing!
Still Long.
