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Wednesday, July 19, 2006 9:20:18 PM
We know this company's share price was 3 cents based on TTM sales of 1M, and virtually no earnings. Today price is 13 cents, and estimated TTM sales (using estimated 2Q sales) should be about 8.5M. (Figure 8M generator sales + SDI (the remainder of generator sales is backlog). So, sales have increased 8 or 9 times, and price has increased 4 or 5 times.
Seems like just based on this, that price should move up.
But wait, the good part is growth. We know that generator sales will grow to 2 offices for sure, and 99% sure, to 3 sales offices. We expect further growth, but how much is anyone's guess. Still, that should multiply sales by 3 (or more) a year down the road, and impact share price accordingly.
Then there's the tile. The company has not provided potential sales numbers; only manufactoring capacity. But it doesn't make sense for a Chinese company to sign an exclusive North American distribution agreement without some assurance of major sales from its distributor. Sales should mirror manufactoring capacity. Did I mention earnings. Or the Chinese generators? Tough day today. Future looks a lot brighter.
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