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Friday, February 26, 2016 1:16:07 PM
In the past, TRTC would have traded back to the .10-.11 range, as so many wrongly predicted.
But it didn't.
Because this time, things are really different.
TRTC has not traded less than 1.3M shares in over 7 weeks now -- the last time TRTC traded over 1M shares for even 6 weeks was June 2014 -- so what does this mean?
First we need to look at the price action.
In the past, on such high volume, TRTC would have traded down as Dominion would be dumping tens of millions of shares, overwhelming any retail buying pressure.
But this February, Dominion no longer has any shares to sell, they are completely sold out as TRTC is finally debt-free, which everybody will see when the Q1 report comes out in mid-May.
So February was really a battle between retail selling pressure to take big profits from the run of .09 to .18, along with the selling pressure generated from the fact that many who bought below .15 in 2015 are just happy to get out at break-even prices.
But the stock has moved in a sideways to sideways-up fashion this month.
Without any news whatsoever, which is also unprecedented.
So what does this mean?
Everything adds up to the reality that for the first time since the 1st half of 2014, TRTC has achieved a new level of retail buying pressure.
This retail buying pressure has been able to overcome the retail selling pressure after a big runup in the absence of any news for over 6 weeks.
Read that sentence back again.
And again.
This is very new and very different.
And the volume has been higher in the past week of February than in any other week in February, so the retail buying pressure is continuing to increase as the price action over the past week is green.
So what does this mean moving forward?
If TRTC can garner increased retail buying pressure sufficient to overcome the retail selling pressure in the absence of news in February, what happens when the news starts to flow in March?
TRTC has essentially been in a quiet period because they are waiting to officially close the Blum Oakland deal, which contractually cannot be signed until March.
The press release announcing that Blum Oak is signed will usher us into a brand new era of TRTC.
An era with lots of new and higher buying pressure than we have seen since the 1st half of 2014.
All signs now point to TRTC being able to receive private placements and be done with toxic financing.
The signing of private placements cannot happen until after Blum Oak is signed and should not happen until TRTC releases a barrage of press releases in March and April, to drive the price into the .20s and .30s
Only then should TRTC look to do private placements above .20 per share
Here is what is definitely coming in March/April/May:
Blum Oak deal signed and closed
Blum Oak revenues and positive free cash flow giving TRTC an unprecedented flow of organic capital.
Blum LV grand opening.
IVXX update for the 1st time in 5 months -- I expect them to announce sales of $2.5M-$3M to the distributor with the intention to supply about 300-350 dispensaries in the Los Angeles area -- this is MY OPINION based on my DD.
End of year financials released in late March
Conference call in late March
Buildout of both LV strip dispensaries
Q1 earnings in mid-May
Here is speculation on what is coming in March/April/May:
Private placements instead of toxic financing or equity credit lines, ending both Dominion and Magna
Sale of EG back to the VandeVredes for a mix of cash and TRTC shares
Change of ticker symbol to IVXX
IVXX oil sales begin
Acquistions of California dispensaries
Announcement that they are in active discussions with the Nasdaq regarding uplisting, earliest they would apply would be in late May after the Q1 earnings come out
Sleek
$LEEKVI$ION: NASDAQ IN JULY 2016 IS COMING
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