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Alias Born | 03/06/2013 |
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Wednesday, February 03, 2016 11:04:51 PM
On friday, midway through that option expiration manipulated rally to 194, I loaded some puts, then watched helplessly as they drove it higher. As monday unfolded, and spy continued to climb, I felt confident that it was a headfake, so kept holding my puts, which ended up down 50% from my entry EOD monday. If I had of just bought more at half the price, and kept holding, confident spy would reverse for a trip back down, I would of done alot better. I sold the next day for a 10% loss on the puts, but could of been green had I took a small position at a much lower price.
A good strategy could be to buy both calls and puts and look to sell one side as spy moves in that direction, average down on the other side at a specific point, then sell the other side when spy moves in the opposite direction. Rinse and repeat as the trend allows. Harder than it sounds, but possible. I wouldn't do this with weekly options but options at least 2 months out as that saves you from the quick decay of short term options. As long as SPY doesn't spend an extended time going in one direction, it would work.
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