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Re: tothe post# 100028

Saturday, 01/30/2016 11:32:20 PM

Saturday, January 30, 2016 11:32:20 PM

Post# of 163718
SIAF chart: This post is on my chart thread as it saves time from repeating validation points.

Friday’s candle is supposed to be a bearish next day indication. However we have not breeched the MA-100 yet and are nowhere near the MA-200 before the swing traders make their appearance to show us they are alive and well.
We have 3 days of higher closing lows. I would rather see a weekly chart of 3 weeks of higher closing lows.
Direction of volume money positive CMF.
Market Maker execution of volume money positive ChiOsc.
Both RSI 6 & 14 are \50/.
AROON up is 0 & down is 75 (good trigger too)
ADX up crosses over down.
MACD & PPO bars 50% smaller than previous from negative.
OBV, Accum/Dist & ChiOsc these indicators track the sentiment in each of the three market sectors. Details below.




TOTHE's charting compilation for investor sentiment as learned from the late MaryKate Austin

First... On Balance Volume is the one that tracks insider and registered shareholder money going in and out of the stock, the OBV indicator will go down when different SEC forms are filed showing distribution by insiders (yes, it that “D” in that box on form 4}. OBV (MA 14) trend line up indicates no dilution. Daily spikes of the OBV indicator show settled & unsettled shares, shorting & covering while riding on the MA 14 filter.

Second ... Accumulation/Distribution tracks the individual or less than %5 retail shareholder. many times Accum/Dist will go up while the PPS of a stock is going lower and lower; also while the PPS is going lower, investors on the message board for the stock, will be talking about buying, and how many shares they hold.

Thirdly... Chaikin Oscillator controls the PPS more than the other two.... the PPS will tank when this indicator goes down, even if OBV and Accum/Dist are going up, this fact alone makes know this indicator tracks "the shares" that rule the stock (MMs in other words). OBV, and Accum/Dist can be going up, but until ChiOsc goes up the PPS will stay lower, or continue going down..... ChiOsc can go up before the PPS goes up, indicating that MMs are accumulating before a run. Now that the shorting rule has changed to allow shorting on the way down, they can cover on the way down, this also makes it easier for them to short a stock into the ground.
http://www.examiner.com/finance-examiner-in-national/tomorrow-begins-new-market-rules-for-short-sellers



Note on BB's that I have found after much observation:
The bottom Bollinger Band isn't used to detect shorting, it is a percentage indicator of the PPS movement. The bottom Bollinger will go down fast when a stock has a low beta and makes a significant move. MMs will usually keep the "close of the day" in a tight range to bring the Bottom B Band up to the PPS area before taking the PPS up. A good book to read for Bollinger Bands is "Bollinger on Bollinger Bands" by Bollinger.

Summery
OBV = Insiders, big share holder investors(institutional, etc.) and Registered shareholders (that is; individual shareholders with more than 5% holdings in the company).

Accum/Dist = over the counter individual Retail shareholders with less than 5% of the company stock.

ChiOsc = those who control the stock PPS and chart actions, that being MMs. Try to think of the various MM shops as computer driven algorithms which in reality what they are. This paradigm shift in perception may cause trauma to newbie swing-traders who still believe in Santa Claus and that MMs are live people.

These three technical indicators have explanations on StockCharts.com and other places, that tell what they do technically, but they also work to track the buy/sell sentiment of the different sectors of shareholders.
Breakout indications you would watch for OBV, CHiOsc, MFI and Accum/Dist all turning up together... with less weight to Accum/Dist. & more weight to ChiOsc & MFI turning up together.

MKA links
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=28827084
this is a long thread w/good info.
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=34663451

StockCharts chart school
http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:technical_indicators:chaikin_oscillator


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