Thursday, January 21, 2016 4:14:21 PM
Let's start with the assumption that $45 MM sales each year for HerpeCide is realistic. Although I have provided reasons as to why it might be significantly greater in a previous message.
The 4x P/E multiplier that is being applied is not nearly the average for revenue generating Drug or Health Care companies.
If you look up P/E ratios in Pharma (in general - http://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/033015/what-average-pricetoearnings-ratio-drugs-sector.asp) on Investopedia, it states that as of March, 2015 the average P/E ratio in the drugs sector is about 24x. Health Care sector (in general) is >16x.
So even assuming that the gross revenue from HerpeCide is only $45 MM - and that the number of shares is still in the ballpark of 60 MM - the earnings/share would be $0.75 gross. A P/E of 16 would then give a share price of $12/share. A P/E of 24 would then give a share price of $18/share. A P/E of 100x would give a share price of $75/share,.... Not that I anticipate a P/E of 100x is likely.
Assuming that revenues from a HerpeCide are similar from all overseas sources and gross earnings = $90 MM,... then increase share prices based on that accordingly.
I suspect that the 16-24x range is a realistic one to start out once it looks like HerpeCide is ready to hit the market and start drawing in some income - but speculation could easily drive it higer.
And as the revenue from a FluCide comes into play a year or so later,.... what would happen if the gross earnings/share were to run up to $2/share,.... 24 x $2 = $48,....
Given time enough to get some products rolling out and some revenue rolling in,.... $100/share is not at all unreasonable.
“The two most powerful warriors are patience and time.”
- Leo Nikolaevich Tolstoy
Recent NNVC News
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/09/2024 08:30:39 PM
- Form 424B5 - Prospectus [Rule 424(b)(5)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/09/2024 08:05:25 PM
- NanoViricides Reports that the Phase I NV-387 Clinical Trial is Completed Successfully and Data Lock is Expected Soon • InvestorsHub NewsWire • 05/02/2024 02:07:42 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/16/2024 09:53:32 PM
- Form 10-Q - Quarterly report [Sections 13 or 15(d)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/14/2024 09:55:35 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/19/2024 09:44:48 PM
- Form DEF 14A - Other definitive proxy statements • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 12/04/2023 09:08:49 PM
- Form 10-K - Annual report [Section 13 and 15(d), not S-K Item 405] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 10/13/2023 08:30:41 PM
- Form NT 10-K - Notification of inability to timely file Form 10-K 405, 10-K, 10-KSB 405, 10-KSB, 10-KT, or 10-KT405 • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 09/28/2023 08:44:54 PM
VHAI - Vocodia Partners with Leading Political Super PACs to Revolutionize Fundraising Efforts • VHAI • Sep 19, 2024 11:48 AM
Dear Cashmere Group Holding Co. AKA Swifty Global Signs Binding Letter of Intent to be Acquired by Signing Day Sports • DRCR • Sep 19, 2024 10:26 AM
HealthLynked Launches Virtual Urgent Care Through Partnership with Lyric Health. • HLYK • Sep 19, 2024 8:00 AM
Element79 Gold Corp. Appoints Kevin Arias as Advisor to the Board of Directors, Strengthening Strategic Leadership • ELMGF • Sep 18, 2024 10:29 AM
Mawson Finland Limited Further Expands the Known Mineralized Zones at Rajapalot: Palokas step-out drills 7 metres @ 9.1 g/t gold & 706 ppm cobalt • MFL • Sep 17, 2024 9:02 AM
PickleJar Announces Integration With OptCulture to Deliver Holistic Fan Experiences at Venue Point of Sale • PKLE • Sep 17, 2024 8:00 AM