Saturday, October 03, 2015 10:42:22 PM
1. Right now, I think that there's a 20% chance the stock will be at 15 cents in a year, a 50% chance that the stock will be at 9 cents in a year, a 20% chance that the stock will be at 4 cents in a year, and a 10% chance that the stock will be at 2 cents in a year. ...nothing but my intuitive guesses! So if we multiply out, that comes out, I think, to a weighted average of 8.5 cents per share, which pretty much is consistent with my estimate of 9 cents. That would mean that my guess of the current value of the stock might be 6 cents in order to allow for "the time value of money in a high risk environment" to discount from next fiscal year-end to right now. So I think that right at this moment - at the worst possible time to make a guess, namely right before we know what the FY2014/15 results were - the stock is undervalued by 50%.
2. That having been said, I think that anyone who gets upset at the bears just for being bears is not behaving well. You can get mad at them when they don't get into the "why" of their bearishness and seem to act the way that trolls would act, but they may very well turn out to be right. I personally have a lot of respect for them for having the courage to post in this kind of environment where the bulls/stockholders tend to believe that the bears will drive readers to either stay away from buying or even to sell their holdings (i.e. bears tend not to be received courteously).
3. As regards Auditor1's comment that there's no one selling if management/board isn't and all those holders of millions of shares who post on this board aren't selling either, sadly I must take issue with you. If you go back and read the postings when there was bad or even uncertain news with VHUB (like the speculation that the stock was going to be watered down via toxic debt conversions to equity), you'll see how quickly even some of the most vociferous bulls jumped ship. I don't blame them, as it is generally a virtue to change one's mind if one believes that circumstances have changed, but I miss their presence on this board.
4. Two other comments from out of left field: I thing that VHUB could make a lot of public relations hay by really emphasizing that it's not in the marijuana business. I also think that the marketing whiz they hired ought to approach some of the nation's leading respiratory hospitals and turn VHUB into their partner for their cigarette-cessation programs.
Good night to all.
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