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Monday, August 10, 2015 7:33:41 PM
a $3.8 billion brand sales drug
Doog - Those must be old numbers - I would go by IPCI's number of $751 Million yearly sales.
I think they could capture up to 20% of that market or $150 Million...
BUT - I think that since they brought it to approval on their dime... and not partnered it until AFTER approval they CAN/WILL command as much as 50% in royalty payments, or ~ $75 Million
Divide that by 25 million shares and you have $3.00 earnings x p/e of 20 = $60.00 per share just for effexor.
Those #'s are best case scenario - but even being conservative is impressive.
Capture 10% of market or $75 Million year - Get 33% royalty on sales or $25 million, divide by 25 million shares = $1.00 earnings x 10 p/e = $10 per share just for effexor.
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