You're right. History never repeats. People don't sell off commodities for weekend fun money. Oil isn't manipulated, fully driven by fundamentals. You're correct. I'm sorry for mentioning that for 16 weeks in a row now, oil dropped Thursday and Friday, and for assuming it could do the same this week.
You're right.
I'm sorry again for pointing out facts instead of speculation like you.
Sorry.
Yes week 17 could be the magic week, the magic week the rules break. That history finally stops repeating. But I'm not gonna catch a falling knife and bet my money on it, or advise others to risk it either. If I miss it I miss it I miss it.
But at least I'm not holding 1.90s , 2.20s, 2.80s, 3.20s thinking "oh this is the bottom"