For now, the only material change I’ve made to the arithmetic in #msg-110528122 is that the $155M in milestone payments ENTA receives in 2015 (including the coming $30M for approval in Japan) will be fully taxed rather than offset by NOLs. The tax on these milestones payments lowers the bottom-line figure by about $3/share.
Regarding the heart of the model—the $52/sh ascribed to the V-Pak royalty stream—we’ll know in 10 days (when ABBV reports 2Q15 results) whether an adjustment is warranted.
“The efficient-market hypothesis may be the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated in any area of human knowledge!”
Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.