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Re: Ownwallstreet post# 11611

Friday, 05/29/2015 9:36:47 PM

Friday, May 29, 2015 9:36:47 PM

Post# of 41155
Really interested in what's going to happen in next few days, but no way we hit 13, unless you think WTI is headed to $150. UWTI is a decaying asset. I know the argument is 10% is 10%, doesn't matter... but pretty much everyone is targeting a UWTI price as it directly relates to the WTI price... and then there is the velocity factor. UWTI has yet, in the last several months, ever showed any capacity to move more than 3X up. It does, repeatedly, show that it can decrease more than 3X, especially when the contract flips to next month. There is history, and there are charts, but look at the data below, UWTI quotes w/WTI at the same price, different dates. Meaning, WTI at $70 is maybe UWTI @ 5.50ish. The 13 ,11, 9,... predictions for UWTI are way off. Some poor newbie is going to think they can get a 300% return in the next 30-60 days, not going to happen.

WTI UWTI Date
58 3.43 4/23/2015 3.20 5/26/2015
58.5 3.52 4/29/2015 3.28 5/26/2015
59 3.61 4/29/2015 3.60 5/11/2015 3.35 5/29/2015
59.5 3.69 4/30/2015 3.67 5/14/2105
60 3.76 5/13/2015 3.79 5/14/2015 3.55 5/21/2015 3.55 5/22/2015
60.5 3.89 5/5/2015 3.87 5/14/2015 3.64 5/21/2015 3.59 5/29/2015
61 3.96 5/12/2015 3.76 5/18/2015


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