Avid Bioservices Inc (CDMO)

[pphmtoolong]

OK, Sunrise followers, what does Peregrine mean when they say enrollment is on track? The immediate answer is they project to have about 600 patients by the end of this calendar year.

Simple math might dictate enrollment rates with 160 sites are now peaking. Compared to a more consistent enrollment rate over the whole trial, this "backend loading" would delay the accumulation of "events" that would trigger an early look-in. However, maybe the calculation is not that simple. For instance, maybe older sites stopped enrolling after achieving some pre-defined target.

The enrollment pattern would give us an idea when the look-ins might occur. If the look-ins happen before or after our expectations, we may estimate how well Sunrise Bavi patients are doing.

I suppose no one outside Peregrine knows the answer. If anyone has a sense how this is likely to play out, please share your insight.

GLTA, Paul