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Monday, 05/18/2015 11:14:04 AM

Monday, May 18, 2015 11:14:04 AM

Post# of 1430
Interesting article:
http://silverseek.com/article/silver-price-projections-2020-14425


... I offer 3 scenarios based on various combinations of the above macro-economic conditions.
SPECULATION REGARDING SILVER PRICES IN 2020:


MORE OF THE SAME SCENARIO: (I find this unlikely but the media likes it.)

[#] US population adjusted national debt increases at 6.7%. (30 year average)
[#] The S&P oscillates around 2,000 as the economy weakens.
[#] No nuclear war, no financial meltdown, the usual politics, a “Demo-Publician” is elected in 2016, and no “black swans” swoop in to destabilize our financial world.
[#] Silver is priced about $35 to $50, based on the exponentially increasing SUM.


CHICKENS COME HOME TO ROOST SCENARIO:

[#] US population adjusted national debt increases more rapidly at about 7.5% per year until 2020. (Wars are expensive!)
[#] The S&P weakens to average (guessing) 1,200 to 2,000.
[#] The US dollar weakens compared to many other currencies and substantially against gold.
[#] By 2020 many financial and paper assets are recognized as dangerous and gold and silver have been revalued far higher.
[#] The SUM rises to the high end of its 30 year exponential range, and silver prices average about $80 to $120. Given silver’s volatility, history of manipulation, and small market, silver could spike higher toward $200.


HYPERINFLATIONARY SCENARIO for 2020:

[#] Debt escalates out of control to unimaginable numbers. Governments find someone else to blame.
[#] The S&P 500 Index goes parabolic.
[#] Financial TV commentators are practically breathless as they discuss the huge increases in the S&P and ignore the rampant inflation, unemployed workers, human misery, and social distress.
[#] Social and economic conditions are deadly and exceedingly difficult.
[#] Income equality in the western world worsens and riots become more common.
[#] Silver prices go parabolic and reach currently unthinkable numbers.


CONCLUSIONS REGARDING ALL SCENARIOS:

History and current actions justify the expectation that governments and central banks will increase debt, devalue fiat currencies, and thereby force silver and gold prices much higher.

Convert digital dollars, yen, pounds, and euros into silver and gold while you can. Current “on sale” prices will not last much longer.

Email: sheepery@gmail.com

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